EXPLAINER/ चीन ताइवान पर करेगा अटैक? यूक्रेन पर पुतिन होंगे और आक्रामक… ट्रंप ने निकोलस मादुरो को देश से उठाया तो दुनिया में क्यों मची खलबली?


Donald Trump-Putin-Jinping

Donald Trump-Putin-Jinping | Image: AP/Republic

Caracas: The US military operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro has shocked people around the world, leaving them worried about its consequences for international relations, especially in the case of Russia-Ukraine and China-Taiwan. Foreign experts say the United States’ unilateral invasion of Venezuela and the capture of Maduro have fueled Russia’s intention to be more aggressive against China’s objectives in Ukraine and Taiwan.

Describing the Trump administration’s actions on Venezuela as a complete violation of international law, experts have questioned whether the US has set a dangerous precedent for other countries, and said that the capture of Maduro has frightened many smaller countries.

who said what?

US moves to capture Maduro, who is accused of drug trafficking and corruption, have drawn heavy criticism from the Trump administration over its role in international affairs. While some countries consider this a major step against a corrupt leader, others clearly say that it has weakened global stability and set a precedent for powerful countries to interfere in the affairs of smaller countries.

Some countries have reacted cautiously, calling for restraint and respect for international law. The European Union (EU) has expressed concern, while Russia has condemned the US action, calling it an armed attack. China has also expressed strong protest. Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has called the US bombing and capture of Maduro a wrong step.

Did Putin-Jinping get the green signal?

Meanwhile, experts said that in Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin may take the US action as a green light to escalate his offensive, and perhaps take even more drastic military action. Not just Putin, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s statement, “If you can do this so easily with dictators, then the United States knows what to do next,” indicates frustration in Kiev. Meanwhile, China is keeping an eye on its next move on the global stage regarding Taiwan.

As the US described its action as a blow to narco-terrorism, many accused Washington of breaking international law and setting a dangerous precedent, opening a Pandora’s box, and the consequences of which will be felt for years to come.

According to the Trump Administration, the US operation in Venezuela was a well-planned raid, detaining Maduro and his wife Celia Flores at their military base in Caracas. The couple is now facing charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, importing cocaine and possessing machine guns and harmful devices. US President Donald Trump has called this operation a necessary step to combat international drug trafficking, but many people see it as a power play with geopolitical implications.

What will be the impact on Russia-Ukraine war?

Experts have suggested that Maduro’s capture could prompt Putin to intensify his efforts in Ukraine, leading to even more stringent military measures. Putin’s long-standing goal of reasserting Russian control over former Soviet territories makes Ukraine a prime target. Among the new developments, Putin may see the US setting a precedent of violating sovereignty as an opportunity to justify further aggression.

Not only Putin, but the US attack on Venezuela has also emboldened Zelensky, who has symbolically demanded similar strong action against the Russian President. Zelensky’s words show that this move by the US may have created expectations that it will intervene in other conflicts including Russia’s aggression in Ukraine. This move may increase further tension and instability in the area.

China’s objective in Taiwan

Although China has criticized the US action, warning that it sets a dangerous precedent for international relations, analysts believe China may see it as an opportunity to strengthen its territorial claims on Taiwan, which could increase tensions in the region. An analyst associated with global affairs said that China’s action may be affected by the US action, due to which a more aggressive attitude can be adopted towards Taiwan.

Amid its increasing military presence and exercises around Taiwan, China is keeping an eye on the US-Venezuela situation. The analyst said US actions in Venezuela could weaken its arguments against China’s actions in the South China Sea and Taiwan. He also suggested that an immediate attack on Taiwan was unlikely, but that China could use the opportunity to increase its criticism of US influence and strengthen its global identity.

What does China claim about Taiwan?

In particular, China describes Taiwan as an inalienable part of its territory, citing historical ties dating back to the third century. The People’s Republic of China (PRC) states that the Republic of China (ROC) ended in 1949, and the PRC is the sole legal government of China after the ROC. The country views Taiwan’s independence as a threat to its sovereignty and territorial integrity. security, and he has not ruled out the possibility of using force to reunify with Taiwan.

According to experts, China’s claim is based on the ‘one-China principle’, according to which there is only one China, and Taiwan is a part of it. The PRC has proposed a ‘one country, two systems’ model to Taiwan similar to Hong Kong, but this has been rejected by successive Taiwanese governments. China has also passed the Anti-Secession Law authorizing the use of military force to prevent Taiwan independence. Countries around the world are divided on the issue, with some recognizing the PRC’s claim, while others maintaining informal relations with Taiwan.

Also read: Khamenei, scared of action against Maduro, is preparing to take refuge in Moscow?

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